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Home » News » Nvidia’s Earnings: Make-or-Break Moment for AI and Wall Street

Nvidia’s Earnings: Make-or-Break Moment for AI and Wall Street

Nvidia Faces Pivotal Earnings Test as AI Dominance Comes Under Scrutiny

Editorial Team (ET)July 26, 2025



Nvidia, the undisputed leader in AI chips, has been on a meteoric rise. However, its aura of invincibility has been rattled. As the company prepares to release its fourth-quarter earnings, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will Nvidia reaffirm its dominance, or will the market's recent jitters prove justified?

Wall Street is watching closely. Nvidia’s results will not only shape investor sentiment but also determine whether AI continues to be the driving force behind stock market gains. With the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks already in correction territory, the chipmaker’s report could either restore faith or send shockwaves through the industry.

DeepSeek’s Disruption: A Game-Changer?

The emergence of China-based startup DeepSeek has disrupted the AI landscape. This unexpected challenger has claimed performance comparable to U.S.-based AI models while using significantly fewer chips and computing power. That’s a direct challenge to Nvidia’s dominant position in AI infrastructure.

DeepSeek’s impact has already been felt. Nvidia’s stock remains below its pre-announcement levels, and investors are showing caution. Unlike previous dips, this time, there’s hesitation to buy the dip. Hedge funds have started trimming tech holdings, adding to the uncertainty.

Earnings Expectations and Market Volatility

With Nvidia’s earnings looming, options data points to heightened volatility. The implied move in the stock is nearly 10%—the biggest swing on an earnings day since 2022. Analysts anticipate more than $38 billion in quarterly revenue, a staggering 73% increase from the prior year.

Despite concerns, Wall Street’s confidence in Nvidia remains strong. Nearly 90% of analysts maintain a “buy” rating, and the average price target suggests a 38% upside. But will these optimistic forecasts hold up?

Big Tech’s Capex Plans: A Lifeline for Nvidia?

One of the biggest concerns for Nvidia has been whether major tech firms will scale back their AI investments. Microsoft recently canceled substantial data center leases, raising fears that AI spending might be cooling.

Yet, the broader trend tells a different story. Tech giants like Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet have all reaffirmed or even increased their capital expenditures for AI. This suggests that, despite recent disruptions, demand for Nvidia’s chips remains strong.

Valuation Concerns Fade as Growth Holds Strong

For a long time, Nvidia’s biggest drawback was its sky-high valuation. However, with the stock trading at 28 times estimated earnings—below its 10-year average—the narrative is shifting. Analysts argue that Nvidia’s growth rate justifies its multiple. If the company delivers strong earnings, investors may find the stock undervalued rather than overpriced.

The Bottom Line: A Test of Market Sentiment

Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report is more than just a financial update—it’s a litmus test for the AI revolution. If the company delivers, it could reignite enthusiasm for tech stocks. If not, the recent selloff may accelerate.

The AI boom has been one of the most powerful investment trends in recent years. Whether Nvidia can maintain its dominance will be decided in the next 24 hours.

Nvidia





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