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Gold Surpasses U.S. Treasuries in Central Bank Reserves for First Time Since 1996

Central banks are ditching Treasuries and doubling down on bullion, triggering a seismic shift in global wealth protection.

•• 1 Min
Gold Surpasses U.S. Treasuries in Central Bank Reserves for First Time Since 1996

For the first time since the Clinton administration was rocking pagers and dial-up modems, the world’s central banks collectively hold more gold by value than U.S. Treasury securities in their official reserves. Yes, you read that correctly. The asset once dismissed as a “barbarbarian relic” has officially dethroned the cornerstone of modern finance.

According to the latest 2025 data from the World Gold Council and the International Monetary Fund, central bank gold reserves crossed the $4.4 trillion mark in the final quarter of the year, while foreign official holdings of U.S. Treasuries slipped below $3.4 trillion amid the sharpest sustained sell-off since the global financial crisis. The crossover, confirmed in late November 2025, marks the first time since 1996 that the yellow metal has claimed the top spot.

The shift is not subtle. Central banks purchased a net 634 tonnes of gold through the first three quarters of 2025 alone, putting the year on pace to rival the record 1,082 tonnes bought in 2022. That buying now represents roughly 25 percent of total annual gold demand, two and a half times the pre-2020 average. Poland added 67 tonnes this year, Azerbaijan 34 tonnes, and even traditionally conservative institutions in Western Europe have quietly joined the queue.

Meanwhile, foreign central banks and sovereign funds have been trimming Treasury exposure at a pace not seen in nearly two decades. Japan, still the largest foreign creditor to the United States, reduced its holdings by more than $120 billion over the past eighteen months. China’s reported Treasury stash sits at its lowest level since 2009, and smaller holders from Belgium to the Cayman Islands have participated in the exodus.

What makes this rotation remarkable is who is driving it. These are not retail traders chasing momentum or hedge funds levering up for a narrative. These are the most risk-averse, longest-horizon investors on the planet, institutions whose sole mandate is to preserve national wealth across decades, if not centuries. When they move, markets eventually follow.

The knock-on effects are already rippling through the gold mining industry with the force of a Category 5 hurricane. Global exploration and development spending has already surpassed $12.8 billion year-to-date, eclipsing the entire 2024 total with a month still to spare. Drilling rigs in Nevada’s Carlin Trend and Ontario’s Red Lake district are booked solid through 2028, and junior miners on the Toronto Stock Exchange raised more in the first half of 2025 than in any full year since 2012.

Major producers are responding in kind. Newmont, Barrick, and Agnico Eagle have all increased exploration budgets by double-digit percentages, while takeover premiums for quality deposits have returned to levels last seen during the 2010–2011 mania. The message from the boardroom is clear: with central banks absorbing a quarter of annual supply and mine production stubbornly flat, the only way to meet future demand is to find more ounces, fast.

Gold’s ascent to the throne of global reserves is more than a statistical curiosity. It is a quiet but unmistakable referendum on the dollar’s post-Bretton Woods dominance at a time when U.S. federal debt approaches 130 percent of GDP and annual interest expense consumes nearly a quarter of government revenue. When the institutions tasked with safeguarding a nation’s wealth decide that 3,500-year-old money is safer than the world’s benchmark bond, the rest of the market tends to take notice.

The last time central banks rotated into gold this aggressively, the price quadrupled over the following decade and an entire generation of mining millionaires was minted in the process. History, it seems, enjoys a good encore.

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