RedditBluesky
  • Home
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • Technology
  • Gold
  • Stocks
Home » News » Global Markets Brace for Biden Exit and Trump’s Return

Global Markets Brace for Biden Exit and Trump’s Return

Market Volatility Increases as Traders React to Potential Biden Exit and Trump’s Re-Election Prospects

Editorial Team (ET)July 10, 2025



The political landscape in the United States is currently teeming with speculation and uncertainty. The recent debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump has left markets reeling, as traders grapple with the possibility of Biden stepping down from his re-election bid. This scenario, which seemed unlikely until recently, has started to gain traction, causing significant shifts in global markets. The stakes are high, and the impact of a potential Biden exit is being felt across currencies, bonds, stocks, and even cryptocurrencies.

The Biden Debate Fallout

The debate between Biden and Trump was nothing short of a spectacle. However, it wasn’t Biden’s policies or plans that captured the headlines but his apparent struggles on stage. Concerns about his age and ability to serve another term have intensified, prompting traders to adjust their strategies. The bond market was one of the first to react, with yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries jumping by as much as 20 basis points in the days following the debate. This sudden movement highlights the market’s sensitivity to political developments and the significant impact of leadership changes on financial instruments.

Historical Context

Presidential elections have always been pivotal moments for markets. The last president to opt out of a re-election campaign was Lyndon Johnson in 1968, a decision that sent shockwaves through financial markets. The implications of such a decision today are even more profound, given the interconnectedness of global economies and the current volatility in financial markets. Investors are acutely aware of the historical precedent and are bracing for a similarly disruptive event if Biden decides to bow out.

Market Sentiment and Speculations

Betting markets are now buzzing with activity, reflecting the growing speculation about Biden’s political future. According to recent data, there is less than a 50% chance that Biden remains a candidate. This uncertainty has led fund managers to hedge their bets, favoring the dollar and short-term debt as protective measures against potential market turbulence. The recalibration of portfolios is in full swing, with traders preparing for a variety of outcomes during the Fourth of July holiday and the subsequent weekend.

Dollar's Signal

One of the earliest indicators of market adjustment to a potential Trump victory was the performance of the dollar. The greenback surged in the hours following the debate, a move driven by traders anticipating Trump’s return to office. Trump’s proposed economic policies, including tax cuts and high tariffs on imports from China and other countries, are expected to boost inflation and, consequently, the dollar. Analysts from JPMorgan Chase & Co. have noted that a Trump victory could result in a stronger dollar and higher inflation, given his stance on tariffs and immigration.

Treasury Market Reactions

The Treasury market has been a focal point of activity post-debate. The yield-curve trade, where investors buy shorter-maturity notes and sell longer-term ones, has gained momentum. This strategy, recommended by several Wall Street strategists, anticipates sticky inflation and higher long-maturity yields in the event of another Trump term. The two-day span following the debate saw a sharp increase in the steepness of the yield curve, the most significant since October. This steepening reflects traders’ expectations of future economic conditions under Trump’s policies.

Stock Market Movements

The prospect of a Trump victory has buoyed certain stocks, particularly those in sectors expected to benefit from his policies. Health insurers like UnitedHealth Group Inc. and Humana Inc., banks, and energy companies have seen gains as investors anticipate looser regulations and a more business-friendly environment. The broad market has responded positively, reflecting the general perception that Republican administrations are more favorable to business interests.

Financials ETFs Strategy

Investors have been quick to adjust their strategies in the exchange-traded fund (ETF) market. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), which tracks the performance of financial stocks, saw significant inflows following the debate. This trend indicates that investors are betting on deregulation and a steeper Treasury curve under a potential Trump presidency. However, not all Trump-related investments have gained traction. The MAGA ETF, designed to invest in Republican-friendly stocks, has struggled to attract assets, highlighting the selective nature of investor confidence.

Asian Market Impacts

The ripple effects of the US political climate extend far beyond its borders. Asian markets, particularly those in China and Japan, are also reacting to the speculation of a Trump victory. Trump’s hardline stance on tariffs and trade relations poses a significant risk to Chinese equities. Japanese stocks with high exposure to the Chinese market could also suffer if Trump is re-elected. Strategists at Invesco Asset Management Japan have noted the potential negative impact on these markets, underscoring the global implications of US political decisions.

Crypto Market Implications

The cryptocurrency market is another area experiencing shifts due to the political uncertainty. Trump’s recent engagement with the crypto industry has led to speculation that his return to office could benefit cryptocurrencies like Solana and Bitcoin. Trump’s promise to ensure all future Bitcoin mining is done in the US has added a layer of intrigue to the market. Asset managers VanEck and 21Shares have filed for ETFs that would invest directly in Solana, anticipating a favorable regulatory environment under Trump. The potential for a shakeup in the Democratic ticket is also seen as a bullish factor for Bitcoin, as political instability often drives investors towards decentralized assets.

Conclusion

The current political landscape in the United States is driving significant adjustments in global markets. The possibility of Biden stepping down from his re-election bid and the potential return of Trump to the White House have created a highly volatile environment. Traders and investors are recalibrating their portfolios, preparing for a range of outcomes. As we move closer to the election, the interplay between political developments and market reactions will continue to be a critical area of focus.

Donald TrumpJoe Biden





Disclaimer


This report should not be viewed as investment advice or as an offer to buy or sell any securities or as an invitation or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Neither the author of this report, its publisher, nor any other person associated with the publication of this report, are registered brokers, investment dealers, investment advisers, or financial advisers. The information in this report has not been tailored to the particular needs or circumstances of readers and should not be relied upon as investment advice or recommendations to purchase or sell any of the securities presented in this report. Readers seeking investment advice should contact qualified and registered brokers, investment dealers, investment advisers, or financial advisers prior to making any decision to buy or sell any of the securities referred to in this report. The information in this report should not be construed as investment, legal, or tax advice. No recommendation is made as to whether an investment in the presented securities is suitable for any reader in light of the reader’s particular circumstances.

Readers are cautioned that the publisher of this report covers exclusively securities that carry a high degree of volatility. Investing in such securities is highly speculative and carries a high degree of risk. Investors in such securities could lose all or a substantial portion of their investment. Only those investors who can afford to lose all or a substantial portion of their investment should consider investing in the securities referred to in this report.

This report may include information obtained from publicly available sources, including third-party reports or analysis. Neither the author nor publisher of this report, nor www.juniorstocks.com or its owners, have undertaken any independent investigation into the factual information used in this report, and the information in this report is provided without any warranty of any kind. No representations or warranties are provided regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this report. Statements of opinion or belief are those of the authors and/or publisher of this report. These statements of opinion or belief are expressions of the author’s and/or publisher’s judgment, and there is no guarantee that those judgments will turn out to be correct. No inference should be drawn that the author and/or publisher have any special or greater knowledge about the presented companies or their securities, or any particular expertise in the industries or markets in which the company operates. Readers should conduct their own due diligence and seek professional advice prior to investing in any securities presented on Juniorstocks.com.

Certain statements in this report constitute “forward-looking” statements. Forward-looking statements often, but not always, are identified by the use of words such as “seek,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “estimate,” “expect,” “targeting,” and “intend” and statements that an event or result “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, goals, assumptions, or future events or performance; they are not statements of historical facts and should not be viewed as any guarantee of any future result. Forward-looking statements are based on expectations, estimates, and projections at the time the statements are made that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those presently anticipated. The author and/or publisher of this report disclaims any obligation to update the forward-looking statements in this report, whether as a result of new information, future events, or results or otherwise. There is no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

The information provided in this report is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation, or would subject the author or publisher of this report to any registration requirement in such jurisdiction or country.

Information about the editor of this publication:
Juniorstocks.com is a service provided by Piccadilly Capital Group, Office 66, 101 Clapham High Street, London, SW4 7TB, UK. Piccadilly Capital Group is not the publisher of this report and was not paid for the publication of this report. Piccadilly Capital Group seeks to generate web traffic and a growing number of followers through the publication of articles or reports. Directors, officers, and other insiders of the publisher own an interest in Piccadilly Capital Group. Piccadilly Capital Group does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services, or securities of any company mentioned on www.juniorstocks.com. Piccadilly Capital Group will not share your information with any outside third parties. Due to the new data protection basic regulation, we ask you to read our data protection declaration carefully.

Note on copyright:
The contents published on this website and on connected media (e.g., e-mail, X, Facebook) are subject to applicable copyright and ancillary copyright laws. Any use not permitted by applicable copyright and ancillary copyright laws requires the prior written consent of the provider or the respective rights holder. In particular, this applies to the duplication, editing, translation, storage, processing, or reproduction of content in databases or other electronic media and systems. Contents and rights of third parties are marked as such. Unauthorized reproduction or transmission of individual contents or complete pages is not permitted and is punishable by law. Only the production of copies and downloads for personal, private, and non-commercial use is permitted. Links to the provider's website are always welcome and do not require the consent of the provider of the website. Photos and images on the website may not be shared unless the publisher itself has acquired the initial rights from authorized sources. The presentation of this website in external frames is only allowed with written permission. If you notice any violations, please inform us. Please note: The content of our articles, emails, or other publications or social networks such as X, LinkedIn or Facebook is exclusively intended for the designated addressee(s). If you are not the addressee of these articles, emails, or other publications in the market letter or social networks such as Twitter or Facebook or his or her legal representative, please note that any form of publication, reproduction, or distribution of the content of these articles, emails, or other publications in the market letter or social networks such as X, LinkedIn or Facebook is prohibited. Falsifications of the original content of this message during data transmission cannot be excluded in principle.


Claw and Order: Antimony Rules the Resource Realm
Read Next

Claw and Order: Antimony Rules the Resource Realm

  • RIDE THE BULL

    Your Front Row Seat to the Stories That Move Markets. – Subscribe Now to our Newsletter!

  • Trending Now

    • Grrreat Expectations: Ferrero’s Frosted Grab for Growth
      Grrreat Expectations: Ferrero’s Frosted Grab for Growth
    • The Potash Project That Caught Capitol Hill’s Eye
      The Potash Project That Caught Capitol Hill’s Eye
    • U.S. Strikes Back: Defense Dept Becomes MP’s Largest Shareholder
      U.S. Strikes Back: Defense Dept Becomes MP’s Largest Shareholder
    • Milestone-Based Copper Play: Super Copper Acquires Castilla Project
      Milestone-Based Copper Play: Super Copper Acquires Castilla Project

Claim Your Spot with Juniorstocks.com

Unlock the stories that move markets directly in your inbox


ContactDisclaimerData PrivacyTerms of Use
  • Bluesky
  • Reddit
Copyright 2025 ©Juniorstocks.com - All Rights Reserved.